Betting Advice From NBA Insider Tim Donaghy

With Andruw Jones on the shelf, we had to scramble to find a new guest blogger here at WCBias.com. This week's blogger is former NBA referee and sportsbook phenom Tim Donaghy, providing his insight on the NBA Finals:

What's up sports fans, bookies and crime families!

Well, since WCBias.com foiled my witness-protection plan scheme that saw me shave my head and return to the NBA under the alias of Joey Crawford, I've decided it would be best if I went back into hiding and stuck to offering my insight on betting the NBA.
Thanks to Crawford and myself, the Lakers rolled up the Spurs and are now the odds-on favorites to win it all.
I've had a few beers this morning, but if I'm reading the board at the MGM sportsbook right, it looks like the oddsmakers have installed the Los Angeles Lakers as 2-1 favorites to take out the Celtics.
This is somewhat of a surprise considering Boston had been the favorite since the All-Star break. And with home-court advantage (along with our questionable officiating) being a determining factor throughout the playoffs, you’d think Boston would get the nod because of the four games scheduled to be played there.
Then again, a majority of the so-called basketball “experts” in the media are taking the Lakers, who have been playing better as of late thanks to our fabulous no-calls. That has made for a lot of betting action on L.A. and little action being thrown down on the Celtics – hence the underdog tag for the Cs.
So the money makes sense. What doesn’t make sense is the Game 1 line: Boston favored by 2.5 at home. If the Cs play four of the seven games at home this series, why aren’t they favored to win the whole thing?
Which brings up another interesting question: What were the odds of L.A. or Boston winning the title heading into the season?
Well, back in July, the Lakers were neck deep in Kobe trade turmoil and 50-1 dogs to win the NBA championship. So that $20 I threw down on the Lakers is potentially worth $1,000.
The odds for Boston were even crazier, 300-1. So the 20 bones I dropped on the Cs could be worth $6,000.
But enough about me and my winnings. If I were a betting man … oh wait. … Here’s what I would bet if I were a Lakers guy … With those odds, the best bet is to hope for a Laker victory in five games at the odds of 3-1.
Along the same lines, Boston fans should scrap the 8-5 odds for the series and gamble on the games. You get 20-1 odds if you take the Celtics in four, 11-1 in five, 6-1 in six and 17-4 in seven. I think BSlim hit the nail on the head when he took Boston in seven. For those who don’t know, Slim has a history of putting down brilliant $50 bets every time he’s in Vegas. When in doubt, go with the redhaired Irishman and go with Boston.
Cheers for now my fellow mobsters, gangsters and good friend Charles Barkley.
I’ll be checking in throughout the playoffs.
TD